Temporal prediction of arrests for illicit drug trafficking and micro-distribution using ARIMA models in Peru

Introduction Illicit drug trafficking and micro-distribution represent persistent challenges affecting public security, institutional governance, and social dynamics in Peru. In this context, the aim of the study was to temporally predict trends in arrests related to illicit drug trafficking and mic...

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Autores principales:	Fabrizio Del Carpio Delgado, Rafael Romero-Carazas, Roque Juan Espinoza Casco, Renzo Alberto Taco-Coayla, Gerson Jonatan Donayre-Loayza, David Hugo Bernedo-Moreira, Wilter C. Morales-García
Formato:	Artículo
Lenguaje:	inglés
Publicado:	2026
Materias:	drug trafficking arrests temporal prediction ARIMA model Peru public security drug crime prevention Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance Youth, Drugs, and Violence Crime Patterns and Interventions
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