Temporal prediction of arrests for illicit drug trafficking and micro-distribution using ARIMA models in Peru

Introduction Illicit drug trafficking and micro-distribution represent persistent challenges affecting public security, institutional governance, and social dynamics in Peru. In this context, the aim of the study was to temporally predict trends in arrests related to illicit drug trafficking and mic...

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Autores principales: Fabrizio Del Carpio Delgado, Rafael Romero-Carazas, Roque Juan Espinoza Casco, Renzo Alberto Taco-Coayla, Gerson Jonatan Donayre-Loayza, David Hugo Bernedo-Moreira, Wilter C. Morales-García
Formato: Artículo
Lenguaje:inglés
Publicado: 2026
Materias:
drug trafficking
arrests
temporal prediction
ARIMA model
Peru
public security
drug crime prevention
Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance
Youth, Drugs, and Violence
Crime Patterns and Interventions
Acceso en línea:Enlace permanente (DOI o Handle)
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