Evaluación de la calidad del aire y predicción de la contaminación utilizando redes neuronales artificiales recurrentes en Lima Metropolitana-Perú

The prediction of air pollution is of great importance in highly populated areas because it has a direct impact on both the management of the city’s economic activity and the health of its inhabitants. In this work, the spatio-temporal behavior of air quality in Metropolitan Lima was evaluated and p...

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Autores principales: Hoyos Cordova, Chardin, Lopez Portocarrero, Manuel Niño
Otros Autores: Lopez Gonzales, Javier Linkolk
Formato: Tesis de pregrado
Lenguaje:inglés
Publicado: Universidad Peruana Unión 2021
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author Hoyos Cordova, Chardin
Lopez Portocarrero, Manuel Niño
author2 Lopez Gonzales, Javier Linkolk
author_browse Hoyos Cordova, Chardin
Lopez Gonzales, Javier Linkolk
Lopez Portocarrero, Manuel Niño
author_facet Lopez Gonzales, Javier Linkolk
Hoyos Cordova, Chardin
Lopez Portocarrero, Manuel Niño
author_sort Hoyos Cordova, Chardin
collection Repositorio institucional
description The prediction of air pollution is of great importance in highly populated areas because it has a direct impact on both the management of the city’s economic activity and the health of its inhabitants. In this work, the spatio-temporal behavior of air quality in Metropolitan Lima was evaluated and predicted using the recurrent artificial neural network known as Long-Short Term Memory networks (LSTM). The LSTM was implemented for the hourly prediction of PM10 based on the past values of this pollutant and three meteorological variables obtained from five monitoring stations. The model was evaluated under two validation schemes: the hold-out (HO) and the blocked-nested cross-validation (BNCV). The simulation results show that periods of low PM10 concentration are predicted with high precision. Whereas, for periods of high contamination, the LSTM network with BNCV has better predictability performance. In conclusion, recurrent artificial neural networks with BNCV adapt more precisely to critical pollution episodes and have better performance to forecast this type of environmental data, and can also be extrapolated to other pollutants.
escuela_str_mv Escuela Profesional de Ingeniería Ambiental
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institution UPeU
language English
linea_str_mv Gestión Ambiental
ocde_area_str_mv Ingeniería y tecnología
ocde_disciplina_str_mv Ingeniería ambiental
ocde_str_mv 2.07.00
programa_nombre_str_mv Ingeniería Ambiental
programa_uri_str_mv http://upeu.edu.pe/sys/programas/programa/ingenieria-ambiental
publishDate 2021
publishDateRange 2021
publishDateSort 2021
publisher Universidad Peruana Unión
publisherStr Universidad Peruana Unión
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sede_str_mv Lima
spelling Evaluación de la calidad del aire y predicción de la contaminación utilizando redes neuronales artificiales recurrentes en Lima Metropolitana-Perú Air quality assessmentand pollution forecasting using recurrent artificial neural networks in Metropolitan Lima-Peru Hoyos Cordova, Chardin Lopez Portocarrero, Manuel Niño Lopez Gonzales, Javier Linkolk Air pollution Air quality Recurrent artificial neural networks Time-series forecasting The prediction of air pollution is of great importance in highly populated areas because it has a direct impact on both the management of the city’s economic activity and the health of its inhabitants. In this work, the spatio-temporal behavior of air quality in Metropolitan Lima was evaluated and predicted using the recurrent artificial neural network known as Long-Short Term Memory networks (LSTM). The LSTM was implemented for the hourly prediction of PM10 based on the past values of this pollutant and three meteorological variables obtained from five monitoring stations. The model was evaluated under two validation schemes: the hold-out (HO) and the blocked-nested cross-validation (BNCV). The simulation results show that periods of low PM10 concentration are predicted with high precision. Whereas, for periods of high contamination, the LSTM network with BNCV has better predictability performance. In conclusion, recurrent artificial neural networks with BNCV adapt more precisely to critical pollution episodes and have better performance to forecast this type of environmental data, and can also be extrapolated to other pollutants. 2021-08-23 2021-10-12T17:33:46Z 2021-10-12T17:33:46Z info:eu-repo/semantics/bachelorThesis https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12840/4837 eng info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/es/ application/pdf Universidad Peruana Unión PE oai:repositorio.upeu.edu.pe:20.500.12840/4837 2026-11-10T17:45:09Z
spellingShingle Air pollution
Air quality
Recurrent artificial neural networks
Time-series forecasting
Hoyos Cordova, Chardin
Lopez Portocarrero, Manuel Niño
Evaluación de la calidad del aire y predicción de la contaminación utilizando redes neuronales artificiales recurrentes en Lima Metropolitana-Perú
title Evaluación de la calidad del aire y predicción de la contaminación utilizando redes neuronales artificiales recurrentes en Lima Metropolitana-Perú
title_full Evaluación de la calidad del aire y predicción de la contaminación utilizando redes neuronales artificiales recurrentes en Lima Metropolitana-Perú
title_fullStr Evaluación de la calidad del aire y predicción de la contaminación utilizando redes neuronales artificiales recurrentes en Lima Metropolitana-Perú
title_full_unstemmed Evaluación de la calidad del aire y predicción de la contaminación utilizando redes neuronales artificiales recurrentes en Lima Metropolitana-Perú
title_short Evaluación de la calidad del aire y predicción de la contaminación utilizando redes neuronales artificiales recurrentes en Lima Metropolitana-Perú
title_sort evaluacion de la calidad del aire y prediccion de la contaminacion utilizando redes neuronales artificiales recurrentes en lima metropolitana peru
topic Air pollution
Air quality
Recurrent artificial neural networks
Time-series forecasting
topic_facet Air pollution
Air quality
Recurrent artificial neural networks
Time-series forecasting
url https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12840/4837
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