Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Modeling of the Dynamics of COVID-19 Deaths in Peru

Amid the COVID-19 pandemic, understanding the spatial and temporal dynamics of the disease is crucial for effective public health interventions. This study aims to analyze COVID-19 data in Peru using a Bayesian spatio-temporal generalized linear model to elucidate mortality patterns and assess the i...

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Autores principales: Castro Galarza, César Raúl, Díaz Sánchez, Omar Nolberto, Pimentel, Jonatha Sousa, Bulhões, Rodrigo, López Gonzales, Javier Linkolk, Rodrigues, Paulo Canas
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Publicado: 2024
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author Castro Galarza, César Raúl
Díaz Sánchez, Omar Nolberto
Pimentel, Jonatha Sousa
Bulhões, Rodrigo
López Gonzales, Javier Linkolk
Rodrigues, Paulo Canas
author_browse Bulhões, Rodrigo
Castro Galarza, César Raúl
Díaz Sánchez, Omar Nolberto
López Gonzales, Javier Linkolk
Pimentel, Jonatha Sousa
Rodrigues, Paulo Canas
author_facet Castro Galarza, César Raúl
Díaz Sánchez, Omar Nolberto
Pimentel, Jonatha Sousa
Bulhões, Rodrigo
López Gonzales, Javier Linkolk
Rodrigues, Paulo Canas
author_sort Castro Galarza, César Raúl
collection Producción científica
description Amid the COVID-19 pandemic, understanding the spatial and temporal dynamics of the disease is crucial for effective public health interventions. This study aims to analyze COVID-19 data in Peru using a Bayesian spatio-temporal generalized linear model to elucidate mortality patterns and assess the impact of vaccination efforts. Leveraging data from 194 provinces over 651 days, our analysis reveals heterogeneous spatial and temporal patterns in COVID-19 mortality rates. Higher vaccination coverage is associated with reduced mortality rates, emphasizing the importance of vaccination in mitigating the pandemic's impact. The findings underscore the value of spatio-temporal data analysis in understanding disease dynamics and guiding targeted public health interventions.
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spelling oai:cris.upeu.edu.pe:20.500.15037/4172026-10-30T16:14:37ZBayesian Spatio-Temporal Modeling of the Dynamics of COVID-19 Deaths in PeruCastro Galarza, César RaúlDíaz Sánchez, Omar NolbertoPimentel, Jonatha SousaBulhões, RodrigoLópez Gonzales, Javier LinkolkRodrigues, Paulo CanasBayesian StatisticsSpatio-temporal ModelingCovid-19Areal Unit DataSpatio-temporal Generalized Linear ModelAmid the COVID-19 pandemic, understanding the spatial and temporal dynamics of the disease is crucial for effective public health interventions. This study aims to analyze COVID-19 data in Peru using a Bayesian spatio-temporal generalized linear model to elucidate mortality patterns and assess the impact of vaccination efforts. Leveraging data from 194 provinces over 651 days, our analysis reveals heterogeneous spatial and temporal patterns in COVID-19 mortality rates. Higher vaccination coverage is associated with reduced mortality rates, emphasizing the importance of vaccination in mitigating the pandemic's impact. The findings underscore the value of spatio-temporal data analysis in understanding disease dynamics and guiding targeted public health interventions.Articlehttps://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38920483https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/26/6/474/pdf?version=1717058501https://doi.org/10.3390/e26060474PMC1120242010.3390/e26060474https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.15037/41738920483W4399157280enEntropy1099-43002024-05-302026-06-13T08:13:07Z2026-06-13T08:13:07Z
spellingShingle Bayesian Statistics
Spatio-temporal Modeling
Covid-19
Areal Unit Data
Spatio-temporal Generalized Linear Model
Castro Galarza, César Raúl
Díaz Sánchez, Omar Nolberto
Pimentel, Jonatha Sousa
Bulhões, Rodrigo
López Gonzales, Javier Linkolk
Rodrigues, Paulo Canas
Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Modeling of the Dynamics of COVID-19 Deaths in Peru
title Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Modeling of the Dynamics of COVID-19 Deaths in Peru
title_full Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Modeling of the Dynamics of COVID-19 Deaths in Peru
title_fullStr Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Modeling of the Dynamics of COVID-19 Deaths in Peru
title_full_unstemmed Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Modeling of the Dynamics of COVID-19 Deaths in Peru
title_short Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Modeling of the Dynamics of COVID-19 Deaths in Peru
title_sort bayesian spatio temporal modeling of the dynamics of covid 19 deaths in peru
topic Bayesian Statistics
Spatio-temporal Modeling
Covid-19
Areal Unit Data
Spatio-temporal Generalized Linear Model
topic_facet Bayesian Statistics
Spatio-temporal Modeling
Covid-19
Areal Unit Data
Spatio-temporal Generalized Linear Model
url https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38920483
https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/26/6/474/pdf?version=1717058501
https://doi.org/10.3390/e26060474
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.15037/417
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