Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality: A multi-country time-series study
Temperature variability (TV) is associated with increased mortality risk. However, it is still unknown whether intra-day or inter-day TV has a higher effect. We aimed to assess the association of intra-day TV and inter-day TV with all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality. We collected da...
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2024
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| author | Bo Wen Yao Wu Yuming Guo Antonio Gasparrini Shilu Tong Ala Overcenco Aleš Urban Alexandra Schneider Alireza Entezari Ana M. Vicedo‐Cabrera Antonella Zanobetti Antonis Analitis Ariana Zeka Aurelio Tobı́as Baltazar Nunes Barrak Alahmad Ben Armstrong Bertil Forsberg Shih‐Chun Pan Carmen Íñiguez Caroline Ameling César De la Cruz Valencia Christofer Åström Danny Houthuijs Do Van Dung Dominic Royé Ene Indermitte Éric Lavigne Fatemeh Mayvaneh Fiorella Acquaotta Francesca de’Donato Shilpa Rao Francesco Sera Gabriel Carrasco‐Escobar Haidong Kan Hans Orru Ho Kim Iulian‐Horia Holobâcă Jan Kyselý Joana Madureira Joel Schwartz Jouni J. K. Jaakkola Klea Katsouyanni Magali Hurtado‐Díaz Martina S. Ragettli Masahiro Hashizume Mathilde Pascal Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coêlho Nicolás Valdés Ortega Niilo Ryti Noah Scovronick Paola Michelozzi Patricia Matus Correa Patrick Goodman Paulo Hilário Nascimento Saldiva Raanan Raz Rosana Abrutzky Samuel Osorio Trần Ngọc Đăng Valentina Colistro Veronika Huber Whanhee Lee Xerxes Seposo Yasushi Honda Yoonhee Kim Yue Leon Guo Michelle L. Bell Shanshan Li |
| author_browse | Ala Overcenco Alexandra Schneider Aleš Urban Alireza Entezari Ana M. Vicedo‐Cabrera Antonella Zanobetti Antonio Gasparrini Antonis Analitis Ariana Zeka Aurelio Tobı́as Baltazar Nunes Barrak Alahmad Ben Armstrong Bertil Forsberg Bo Wen Carmen Íñiguez Caroline Ameling Christofer Åström César De la Cruz Valencia Danny Houthuijs Do Van Dung Dominic Royé Ene Indermitte Fatemeh Mayvaneh Fiorella Acquaotta Francesca de’Donato Francesco Sera Gabriel Carrasco‐Escobar Haidong Kan Hans Orru Ho Kim Iulian‐Horia Holobâcă Jan Kyselý Joana Madureira Joel Schwartz Jouni J. K. Jaakkola Klea Katsouyanni Magali Hurtado‐Díaz Martina S. Ragettli Masahiro Hashizume Mathilde Pascal Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coêlho Michelle L. Bell Nicolás Valdés Ortega Niilo Ryti Noah Scovronick Paola Michelozzi Patricia Matus Correa Patrick Goodman Paulo Hilário Nascimento Saldiva Raanan Raz Rosana Abrutzky Samuel Osorio Shanshan Li Shih‐Chun Pan Shilpa Rao Shilu Tong Trần Ngọc Đăng Valentina Colistro Veronika Huber Whanhee Lee Xerxes Seposo Yao Wu Yasushi Honda Yoonhee Kim Yue Leon Guo Yuming Guo Éric Lavigne |
| author_facet | Bo Wen Yao Wu Yuming Guo Antonio Gasparrini Shilu Tong Ala Overcenco Aleš Urban Alexandra Schneider Alireza Entezari Ana M. Vicedo‐Cabrera Antonella Zanobetti Antonis Analitis Ariana Zeka Aurelio Tobı́as Baltazar Nunes Barrak Alahmad Ben Armstrong Bertil Forsberg Shih‐Chun Pan Carmen Íñiguez Caroline Ameling César De la Cruz Valencia Christofer Åström Danny Houthuijs Do Van Dung Dominic Royé Ene Indermitte Éric Lavigne Fatemeh Mayvaneh Fiorella Acquaotta Francesca de’Donato Shilpa Rao Francesco Sera Gabriel Carrasco‐Escobar Haidong Kan Hans Orru Ho Kim Iulian‐Horia Holobâcă Jan Kyselý Joana Madureira Joel Schwartz Jouni J. K. Jaakkola Klea Katsouyanni Magali Hurtado‐Díaz Martina S. Ragettli Masahiro Hashizume Mathilde Pascal Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coêlho Nicolás Valdés Ortega Niilo Ryti Noah Scovronick Paola Michelozzi Patricia Matus Correa Patrick Goodman Paulo Hilário Nascimento Saldiva Raanan Raz Rosana Abrutzky Samuel Osorio Trần Ngọc Đăng Valentina Colistro Veronika Huber Whanhee Lee Xerxes Seposo Yasushi Honda Yoonhee Kim Yue Leon Guo Michelle L. Bell Shanshan Li |
| author_sort | Bo Wen |
| collection | Producción científica |
| description | Temperature variability (TV) is associated with increased mortality risk. However, it is still unknown whether intra-day or inter-day TV has a higher effect. We aimed to assess the association of intra-day TV and inter-day TV with all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality. We collected data on total, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality and meteorology from 758 locations in 47 countries or regions from 1972 to 2020. We defined inter-day TV as the standard deviation (SD) of daily mean temperatures across the lag interval, and intra-day TV as the average SD of minimum and maximum temperatures on each day. In the first stage, inter-day and intra-day TVs were modelled simultaneously in the quasi-Poisson time-series model for each location. In the second stage, a multi-level analysis was used to pool the location-specific estimates. Overall, the mortality risk due to each interquartile range [IQR] increase was higher for intra-day TV than for inter-day TV. The risk increased by 0.59% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.53, 0.65) for all-cause mortality, 0.64% (95% CI: 0.56, 0.73) for cardiovascular mortality, and 0.65% (95% CI: 0.49, 0.80) for respiratory mortality per IQR increase in intra-day TV0–7 (0.9 °C). An IQR increase in inter-day TV0–7 (1.6 °C) was associated with 0.22% (95% CI: 0.18, 0.26) increase in all-cause mortality, 0.44% (95% CI: 0.37, 0.50) increase in cardiovascular mortality, and 0.31% (95% CI: 0.21, 0.41) increase in respiratory mortality. The proportion of all-cause deaths attributable to intra-day TV0–7 and inter-day TV0–7 was 1.45% and 0.35%, respectively. The mortality risks varied by lag interval, climate area, season, and climate type. Our results indicated that intra-day TV may explain the main part of the mortality risk related to TV and suggested that comprehensive evaluations should be proposed in more countries to help protect human health. |
| format | Article |
| id | oai:cris.upeu.edu.pe:20.500.15037/1182 |
| institution | UPeU |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| publishDateRange | 2024 |
| publishDateSort | 2024 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oai:cris.upeu.edu.pe:20.500.15037/11822026-10-30T16:15:19ZComparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality: A multi-country time-series studyBo WenYao WuYuming GuoAntonio GasparriniShilu TongAla OvercencoAleš UrbanAlexandra SchneiderAlireza EntezariAna M. Vicedo‐CabreraAntonella ZanobettiAntonis AnalitisAriana ZekaAurelio Tobı́asBaltazar NunesBarrak AlahmadBen ArmstrongBertil ForsbergShih‐Chun PanCarmen ÍñiguezCaroline AmelingCésar De la Cruz ValenciaChristofer ÅströmDanny HouthuijsDo Van DungDominic RoyéEne IndermitteÉric LavigneFatemeh MayvanehFiorella AcquaottaFrancesca de’DonatoShilpa RaoFrancesco SeraGabriel Carrasco‐EscobarHaidong KanHans OrruHo KimIulian‐Horia HolobâcăJan KyselýJoana MadureiraJoel SchwartzJouni J. K. JaakkolaKlea KatsouyanniMagali Hurtado‐DíazMartina S. RagettliMasahiro HashizumeMathilde PascalMicheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio CoêlhoNicolás Valdés OrtegaNiilo RytiNoah ScovronickPaola MichelozziPatricia Matus CorreaPatrick GoodmanPaulo Hilário Nascimento SaldivaRaanan RazRosana AbrutzkySamuel OsorioTrần Ngọc ĐăngValentina ColistroVeronika HuberWhanhee LeeXerxes SeposoYasushi HondaYoonhee KimYue Leon GuoMichelle L. BellShanshan LiSeries (stratigraphy)Time seriesEnvironmental scienceStatisticsEconometricsGeographyMathematicsBiologyPaleontologySeries (stratigraphy)Time seriesEnvironmental scienceStatisticsEconometricsGeographyMathematicsBiologyCardiovascular Diseases mortalityCardiovascular Diseases mortalityCardiovascular Diseases mortalityCardiovascular Diseases mortalityCardiovascular Diseases mortalityHumansHumansHumansHumansHumansMortalityMortalityMortalityMortalityMortalityRespiratory Tract Diseases mortalityRespiratory Tract Diseases mortalityRespiratory Tract Diseases mortalityRespiratory Tract Diseases mortalityRespiratory Tract Diseases mortalitySeasonsSeasonsSeasonsSeasonsSeasonsTemperatureTemperatureTemperatureTemperatureTemperaturePhysical Sciences Environmental Science Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis Climate Change and Health ImpactsHealth Sciences Medicine Critical Care and Intensive Care Medicine Thermal Regulation in MedicineSocial Sciences Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of LifeTemperature variability (TV) is associated with increased mortality risk. However, it is still unknown whether intra-day or inter-day TV has a higher effect. We aimed to assess the association of intra-day TV and inter-day TV with all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality. We collected data on total, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality and meteorology from 758 locations in 47 countries or regions from 1972 to 2020. We defined inter-day TV as the standard deviation (SD) of daily mean temperatures across the lag interval, and intra-day TV as the average SD of minimum and maximum temperatures on each day. In the first stage, inter-day and intra-day TVs were modelled simultaneously in the quasi-Poisson time-series model for each location. In the second stage, a multi-level analysis was used to pool the location-specific estimates. Overall, the mortality risk due to each interquartile range [IQR] increase was higher for intra-day TV than for inter-day TV. The risk increased by 0.59% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.53, 0.65) for all-cause mortality, 0.64% (95% CI: 0.56, 0.73) for cardiovascular mortality, and 0.65% (95% CI: 0.49, 0.80) for respiratory mortality per IQR increase in intra-day TV0–7 (0.9 °C). An IQR increase in inter-day TV0–7 (1.6 °C) was associated with 0.22% (95% CI: 0.18, 0.26) increase in all-cause mortality, 0.44% (95% CI: 0.37, 0.50) increase in cardiovascular mortality, and 0.31% (95% CI: 0.21, 0.41) increase in respiratory mortality. The proportion of all-cause deaths attributable to intra-day TV0–7 and inter-day TV0–7 was 1.45% and 0.35%, respectively. The mortality risks varied by lag interval, climate area, season, and climate type. Our results indicated that intra-day TV may explain the main part of the mortality risk related to TV and suggested that comprehensive evaluations should be proposed in more countries to help protect human health.Articlehttps://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38714028https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2024.10871210.1016/j.envint.2024.108712https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.15037/1182W4396609583enEnvironment International0160-41201873-67502024-05-012026-06-13T09:49:11Z2026-06-13T09:49:11Z |
| spellingShingle | Series (stratigraphy) Time series Environmental science Statistics Econometrics Geography Mathematics Biology Paleontology Series (stratigraphy) Time series Environmental science Statistics Econometrics Geography Mathematics Biology Cardiovascular Diseases mortality Cardiovascular Diseases mortality Cardiovascular Diseases mortality Cardiovascular Diseases mortality Cardiovascular Diseases mortality Humans Humans Humans Humans Humans Mortality Mortality Mortality Mortality Mortality Respiratory Tract Diseases mortality Respiratory Tract Diseases mortality Respiratory Tract Diseases mortality Respiratory Tract Diseases mortality Respiratory Tract Diseases mortality Seasons Seasons Seasons Seasons Seasons Temperature Temperature Temperature Temperature Temperature Physical Sciences Environmental Science Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis Climate Change and Health Impacts Health Sciences Medicine Critical Care and Intensive Care Medicine Thermal Regulation in Medicine Social Sciences Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life Bo Wen Yao Wu Yuming Guo Antonio Gasparrini Shilu Tong Ala Overcenco Aleš Urban Alexandra Schneider Alireza Entezari Ana M. Vicedo‐Cabrera Antonella Zanobetti Antonis Analitis Ariana Zeka Aurelio Tobı́as Baltazar Nunes Barrak Alahmad Ben Armstrong Bertil Forsberg Shih‐Chun Pan Carmen Íñiguez Caroline Ameling César De la Cruz Valencia Christofer Åström Danny Houthuijs Do Van Dung Dominic Royé Ene Indermitte Éric Lavigne Fatemeh Mayvaneh Fiorella Acquaotta Francesca de’Donato Shilpa Rao Francesco Sera Gabriel Carrasco‐Escobar Haidong Kan Hans Orru Ho Kim Iulian‐Horia Holobâcă Jan Kyselý Joana Madureira Joel Schwartz Jouni J. K. Jaakkola Klea Katsouyanni Magali Hurtado‐Díaz Martina S. Ragettli Masahiro Hashizume Mathilde Pascal Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coêlho Nicolás Valdés Ortega Niilo Ryti Noah Scovronick Paola Michelozzi Patricia Matus Correa Patrick Goodman Paulo Hilário Nascimento Saldiva Raanan Raz Rosana Abrutzky Samuel Osorio Trần Ngọc Đăng Valentina Colistro Veronika Huber Whanhee Lee Xerxes Seposo Yasushi Honda Yoonhee Kim Yue Leon Guo Michelle L. Bell Shanshan Li Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality: A multi-country time-series study |
| title | Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality: A multi-country time-series study |
| title_full | Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality: A multi-country time-series study |
| title_fullStr | Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality: A multi-country time-series study |
| title_full_unstemmed | Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality: A multi-country time-series study |
| title_short | Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality: A multi-country time-series study |
| title_sort | comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality a multi country time series study |
| topic | Series (stratigraphy) Time series Environmental science Statistics Econometrics Geography Mathematics Biology Paleontology Series (stratigraphy) Time series Environmental science Statistics Econometrics Geography Mathematics Biology Cardiovascular Diseases mortality Cardiovascular Diseases mortality Cardiovascular Diseases mortality Cardiovascular Diseases mortality Cardiovascular Diseases mortality Humans Humans Humans Humans Humans Mortality Mortality Mortality Mortality Mortality Respiratory Tract Diseases mortality Respiratory Tract Diseases mortality Respiratory Tract Diseases mortality Respiratory Tract Diseases mortality Respiratory Tract Diseases mortality Seasons Seasons Seasons Seasons Seasons Temperature Temperature Temperature Temperature Temperature Physical Sciences Environmental Science Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis Climate Change and Health Impacts Health Sciences Medicine Critical Care and Intensive Care Medicine Thermal Regulation in Medicine Social Sciences Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life |
| topic_facet | Series (stratigraphy) Time series Environmental science Statistics Econometrics Geography Mathematics Biology Paleontology Series (stratigraphy) Time series Environmental science Statistics Econometrics Geography Mathematics Biology Cardiovascular Diseases mortality Cardiovascular Diseases mortality Cardiovascular Diseases mortality Cardiovascular Diseases mortality Cardiovascular Diseases mortality Humans Humans Humans Humans Humans Mortality Mortality Mortality Mortality Mortality Respiratory Tract Diseases mortality Respiratory Tract Diseases mortality Respiratory Tract Diseases mortality Respiratory Tract Diseases mortality Respiratory Tract Diseases mortality Seasons Seasons Seasons Seasons Seasons Temperature Temperature Temperature Temperature Temperature Physical Sciences Environmental Science Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis Climate Change and Health Impacts Health Sciences Medicine Critical Care and Intensive Care Medicine Thermal Regulation in Medicine Social Sciences Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life |
| url | https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38714028 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2024.108712 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.15037/1182 |
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